austin_dern (austin_dern) wrote,

I'm gonna wait till the stars come out

On to more mundane things: the monthly The Price Is Right report. You know, I started with the hypothesis that the second-spinner is the priveleged spot for the Showcase Showdown spinning of the big wheel, and the evidence of the first half-season I measured this pretty well smashed my notion by showing a marked preference for the third spinner. If I had started this month, or this season, I would have figured I was right to start with: for October 2009 the first spinner won 17 times, the second-place spinner 15 times, and the third-place spinner a mere eight times. Things are a little better-balanced looking at the season to date, where the first-place spinner has won 24 times, the second-place spinner 27 times, and third-place a mere 19 times.

I think most of this is the result of a freak week, the week of the 19th of October, when the first-place spinner won eight times, leaving just one win apiece to the second and third-place spinners. And it's not helped by the slightly freaky week of the 12th of October, when the third-place spinner got only one win too. The last week of October first place got only one win, so the freakishness is getting more evenly balanced.

There's a new record low winning spin for the Showcase Showdown, though: twice this past month the winning spin was 50 cents. One of those was on the modestly freaky Hallowen show (30 October, actually), when a three-way tie of 50 cents went to a spinoff (which was won by 80 cents). But on the 15th, a 50 cent spin won fair and square, against $1.45 and $0.45 spins.

On Showcase reveals, my old hypothesis about the second-revealed bid being the winner is dying even more viciously. For October, the first-revealed showcase has won 16 times and the second-revealed 4 times. For the season, first-revealed has won 28 times, and second-revealed 7 times. There've been no double overbids yet. Discounting cases where the second contestant overbid, forcing the issue, the first-revealed has won 18 times this season to 7 times for the second-revealed. There've been no double showcase winners yet either, although the Halloween show again had a weird set of Showcase bids. Go figure.

Trivia: The 1906 White Sox hit just .230. They won the World Series. Source: The Numbers Game: Baseball's Lifelong Fascination With Statistics, Alan Schwarz.

Currently Reading: The Influence Of Sea Power Upon History, 1660 - 1783, Alfred Thayer Mahan.


  • I'm fixing a hole where the rain gets in

    So, I'm sorry, I have to punt on getting any serious journaling done today. Just no time. The pinball tournament ran about two hours longer than I…

  • One must hide when the sun gets higher

    And now we're up to September, and our Labor Day trip to Michigan's Adventure. Yes, it does seem like we get there Labor Day weekend a lot but…

  • Automobubbling, you and I

    Let me see if I can say something interesting about the Gilmore Car Museum even if it means using a Sunday slot to do it. So the car museum is…

  • Post a new comment


    default userpic
    When you submit the form an invisible reCAPTCHA check will be performed.
    You must follow the Privacy Policy and Google Terms of use.